Defra Publishes Revised Forecasting For 2020 Waste Arisings

24-09-13(2)picDefra has revised its original forecasting for 2020 waste arising, which didn’t take into account all of the known potential capacity expected to be delivered by this time.

Defra published the original forecasting back in February this year, which is used to assess the amount of biodegradable municipal waste that goes to landfill and hence whether England is expected to meet the necessary requirements of the EU Landfill Directive.

The analysis provides estimates of the likelihood of meeting the Landfill Directive target and the impact of withdrawing Defra’s provisional allocation of financial support for three residual waste projects.

It has revised the original version, however, because the original analysis in February 2013 did not fully account for all of the known potential capacity expected to be delivered by 2020.

“This meant that the likelihood of meeting the target was underestimated,” Defra stated.

The revised data concludes that:

  • There is a very wide range of possible net capacity positions in 2020. This includes surpluses and deficits.
  • If financial support is given to all of the projects yet to reach financial close, there is an estimated 97 percent likelihood of meeting the 2020 diversion target using the ranges of inputs that we believe to be realistic. In this scenario the mean surplus capacity is approximately 2.7m tonnes.
  • If provisional financial support is withdrawn from all of the projects yet to reach financial close, there is an estimated 95 percent likelihood of meeting the 2020 diversion target using the ranges of inputs that we believe to be realistic. In this scenario the mean surplus capacity is approximately 2.4m tonnes.
  • Hence withdrawing provisional financial support for the projects reduces the likelihood of meeting the 2020 diversion target, by approximately two percent.

For the full report CLICK HERE

 

Send this to a friend